St. Mary's (Cal.)
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
457  Gabe Arias-Sheridan FR 32:47
607  Cormac McCullaugh JR 33:02
1,194  Noah McDermott FR 33:56
1,227  Justin Jayme SR 33:58
1,591  Zach Hansen JR 34:26
1,899  Josh Spooner FR 34:52
1,986  Jordan Kurtz FR 35:00
2,017  David Salas JR 35:03
2,018  Matt Coss FR 35:03
2,113  Lowell Kirkwood FR 35:12
2,367  Nick Ellingson JR 35:40
National Rank #136 of 311
West Region Rank #19 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 22nd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 43.2%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Gabe Arias-Sheridan Cormac McCullaugh Noah McDermott Justin Jayme Zach Hansen Josh Spooner Jordan Kurtz David Salas Matt Coss Lowell Kirkwood Nick Ellingson
Stanford Invitational 09/27 1208 33:44 34:00 33:35 35:13 34:59 34:47 35:03 35:40
Bronco Invitational 10/18 1129 32:56 33:10 33:40 33:43 34:36 34:46 35:41
West Coast Conference Championships 11/01 1075 32:29 32:42 34:11 33:58 34:23 35:06 35:53 34:44
West Region Championships 11/14 1047 32:17 32:36 34:13 34:14 34:14 34:09





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 21.0 610 0.6 2.2 5.2 9.0 12.0 14.2 14.0 14.8 12.1 8.1 5.0 2.3 0.4



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabe Arias-Sheridan 70.2
Cormac McCullaugh 85.7
Noah McDermott 137.9
Justin Jayme 139.7
Zach Hansen 164.7
Josh Spooner 185.5
Jordan Kurtz 190.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 0.6% 0.6 15
16 2.2% 2.2 16
17 5.2% 5.2 17
18 9.0% 9.0 18
19 12.0% 12.0 19
20 14.2% 14.2 20
21 14.0% 14.0 21
22 14.8% 14.8 22
23 12.1% 12.1 23
24 8.1% 8.1 24
25 5.0% 5.0 25
26 2.3% 2.3 26
27 0.4% 0.4 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0